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Our Final Vote Projection, as distributed and posted on Friday 11/3, was:
FL Governor's Race - CRIST: 52.95% // DAVIS: 46.20%
The actual result was - CRIST: 52.2% // DAVIS: 45.1%
Our Crist assessment was accurate to 0.75%, and our Davis assessment was accurate to 1.1%. Each was well within our 2.85% polling margin or error.
In 2004, our final FL Projection (10/25/04) was accurate to 0.35% for our Kerry/Edwards assessment and to 1.65% for our Bush/Cheney assessment. Each was well within our 2.85% polling margin of error.
We are not aware of any final 2004 or final 2006 projections in Florida that were more accurate.